Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Lundell wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 90.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 56.8%
Neutral zone
Lundell 68.1%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Lundell
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lundell
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Lundell
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Lundell
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
49.2% (901)
-4.4%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
68.2% (22)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
49.8% (219)
+2.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Lundell is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lundell shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Lundell
Kuraly
Home
45.5% (319)
51.7% (603)
Away
47.7% (260)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Lundell
Kuraly
P1
50.8%
50.9%
P2
46.5%
49.5%
P3
41.7%
49.1%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |