Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Noesen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.8% vs Noesen 44.6% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Noesen 54.9%
Defensive zone
Lundell 83.3%
Neutral zone
Lundell 62.3%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Lundell
Noesen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lundell
Noesen
Last 7: Lundell 4-3 Noesen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Noesen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Noesen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
Noesen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (3,346)
42.3% (407)
+8.9%
Power Play
56.0% (336)
46.5% (114)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (478)
57.1% (14)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Noesen has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Lundell is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,401).
Lundell shoots left. Noesen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Lundell
Noesen
Home
50.8% (2,228)
43.8% (267)
Away
51.0% (1,932)
43.3% (268)
By Period
Lundell
Noesen
P1
52.2%
38.2%
P2
51.1%
45.3%
P3
49.5%
46.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
54.0%▼
57.0%
50.9%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:48 | Neutral | Stefan Noesen |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | Stefan Noesen |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:11 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 09:55 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |