Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Lundell wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Lorentz 48.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 52.0%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 69.1%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 60.6%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Lundell
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lundell
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Lorentz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
48.3% (497)
-3.5%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
63.6% (11)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
38.5% (39)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Lundell is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lundell shoots left. Lorentz is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Lundell
Lorentz
Home
45.5% (319)
50.4% (238)
Away
47.7% (260)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Lundell
Lorentz
P1
50.8%
49.1%
P2
46.5%
48.0%
P3
41.7%
47.2%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
54.0%▼
57.0%
46.5%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |