Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Zegras 35.4% (+21.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 79.3%
Defensive zone
Lundell 97.4%
Neutral zone
Lundell 93.0%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Lundell
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Lundell
Zegras
Last 6: Lundell 6-0 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
0
Lundell
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
0
Lundell
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
29.6% (230)
+23.1%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
32.1% (56)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
100.0% (1)
-52.7%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +52.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Lundell
Zegras
Home
51.0% (574)
30.6% (147)
Away
52.6% (546)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Lundell
Zegras
P1
52.9%
33.0%
P2
55.8%
31.7%
P3
47.1%
25.6%
OT
46.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |