Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Suomela wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Joshua shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suomela 48.5% vs Joshua 50.5% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suomela 52.5%
Defensive zone
Suomela 51.7%
Neutral zone
Joshua 55.3%
Result
Antti Suomela favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Suomela
Joshua
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Suomela
Joshua
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suomela
1
0
Suomela
Joshua
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suomela
Joshua
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (338)
51.7% (288)
-3.5%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
75.0% (8)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
25.0% (20)
+0.0%
On power play, Joshua has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joshua shoots left. Suomela is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Suomela shoots left. Joshua is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Suomela
Joshua
Home
53.0% (183)
48.3% (149)
Away
42.7% (164)
52.7% (167)
By Period
Suomela
Joshua
P1
50.5%
55.6%
P2
43.3%
44.2%
P3
51.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suomela
58.0%▲
50.5%
48.1%
Joshua
34.0%▼
47.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Antti Suomela |