Scouting Report
Antti Suomela holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suomela 48.5% vs Stepan 46.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 53.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 60.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 54.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Suomela
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Suomela
Stepan
Last 5: Suomela 2-3 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Suomela
Stepan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
2
Suomela
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suomela
1
0
Suomela
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suomela
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (338)
46.5% (10,204)
+1.7%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
48.8% (1,593)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
44.2% (1,368)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Suomela is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Suomela shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Suomela
Stepan
Home
53.0% (183)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
42.7% (164)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Suomela
Stepan
P1
50.5%
47.5%
P2
43.3%
45.6%
P3
51.4%
46.8%
Final 5 min
46.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suomela
58.0%▲
50.5%
48.1%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Antti Suomela |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Antti Suomela |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |