Scouting Report
Antti Suomela holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suomela on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suomela 48.5% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Suomela leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Suomela 70.2%
Defensive zone
Suomela 87.6%
Neutral zone
Suomela 86.6%
Result
Antti Suomela favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Suomela
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Suomela
Schmaltz
Last 10: Suomela 8-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
3
Suomela
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suomela
3
0
Suomela
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suomela
4
0
Suomela
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suomela
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (338)
41.2% (3,399)
+7.0%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
47.1% (649)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
47.8% (134)
-22.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Suomela is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Suomela shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Suomela
Schmaltz
Home
53.0% (183)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
42.7% (164)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Suomela
Schmaltz
P1
50.5%
41.1%
P2
43.3%
42.9%
P3
51.4%
43.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suomela
58.0%▲
50.5%
48.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Antti Suomela |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Antti Suomela |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Antti Suomela |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Antti Suomela |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Antti Suomela |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Antti Suomela |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Antti Suomela |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Antti Suomela |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |