Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Suomela wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suomela 46.2% vs Aho 48.7% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 54.4%
Defensive zone
Suomela 53.5%
Neutral zone
Suomela 50.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Suomela
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Suomela
Aho
Last 6: Suomela 2-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Suomela
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suomela
1
0
Suomela
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Suomela
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suomela
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (224)
47.4% (953)
-2.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
58.0% (174)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
41.6% (77)
-41.6%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Suomela is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Suomela shoots left. Aho is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Suomela
Aho
Home
50.0% (102)
50.2% (609)
Away
40.2% (127)
46.9% (595)
By Period
Suomela
Aho
P1
49.3%
48.7%
P2
37.9%
50.2%
P3
47.8%
47.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suomela
58.0%▲
50.5%
44.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2018 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Antti Suomela |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Antti Suomela |