Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Suomela wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suomela 48.5% vs Aho 51.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 55.8%
Defensive zone
Suomela 64.0%
Neutral zone
Suomela 53.9%
Result
Antti Suomela favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Suomela
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Suomela
Aho
Last 6: Suomela 2-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Suomela
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suomela
1
0
Suomela
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Suomela
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suomela
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (338)
50.1% (6,619)
-1.9%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
58.9% (1,310)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
46.3% (464)
-21.3%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Suomela is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Suomela shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Suomela
Aho
Home
53.0% (183)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
42.7% (164)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Suomela
Aho
P1
50.5%
51.1%
P2
43.3%
52.0%
P3
51.4%
50.7%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suomela
58.0%▲
50.5%
48.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2018 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Antti Suomela |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Antti Suomela |