Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.1% vs Smith 50.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 61.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 77.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 59.9%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Kopitar
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Kopitar
Smith
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
4
Kopitar
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,045)
52.6% (325)
+1.2%
Power Play
56.6% (235)
66.7% (15)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (171)
35.2% (54)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Kopitar is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Kopitar shoots left. Smith is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Smith
Home
53.1% (748)
50.3% (181)
Away
53.5% (703)
51.2% (213)
By Period
Kopitar
Smith
P1
51.0%
54.2%
P2
52.6%
44.4%
P3
56.1%
54.2%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.3%
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 13:23 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 05:50 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |