Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Smith 51.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 62.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 89.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 70.6%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Kopitar
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Kopitar
Smith
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
2
Kopitar
Smith
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
7
Kopitar
Smith
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
2
Kopitar
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
53.7% (1,269)
+0.9%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
55.6% (27)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
45.5% (369)
+2.9%
On power play, Kopitar has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,141).
Kopitar shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Smith
Home
55.3% (11,643)
53.8% (860)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
49.8% (805)
By Period
Kopitar
Smith
P1
54.5%
52.1%
P2
54.9%
50.2%
P3
53.9%
53.3%
OT
59.2%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 13:23 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 05:50 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |