Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.2%). Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 52.4% vs Smith 51.9% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 86.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 58.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 54.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Kopitar
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kopitar
Smith
Last 6: Kopitar 4-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,066)
54.1% (475)
-2.2%
Power Play
58.9% (192)
14.3% (7)
+44.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (172)
46.4% (112)
+3.6%
On power play, Kopitar has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Kopitar is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (585).
Kopitar shoots left. Smith is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Smith
Home
53.6% (722)
54.4% (274)
Away
51.6% (708)
50.3% (320)
By Period
Kopitar
Smith
P1
52.5%
50.0%
P2
51.1%
53.4%
P3
54.1%
53.2%
OT
53.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |