Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lizotte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Lizotte 50.8% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 83.2%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 52.6%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 57.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Kopitar
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kopitar
Lizotte
Last 5: Kopitar 3-2 Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Lizotte
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
2
Kopitar
Lizotte
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
53.5% (299)
+3.4%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
0.0% (4)
+68.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
38.6% (44)
+5.3%
On power play, Kopitar has a +68.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Lizotte
Home
58.4% (774)
52.0% (198)
Away
56.0% (763)
49.7% (149)
By Period
Kopitar
Lizotte
P1
59.4%
50.0%
P2
56.8%
50.9%
P3
55.9%
52.2%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |