Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Connolly 43.2% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 51.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 87.9%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 71.8%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Kopitar
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kopitar
Connolly
Last 7: Kopitar 4-3 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
2
Kopitar
Connolly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Connolly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Connolly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
40.2% (229)
+14.4%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
43.1% (58)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
50.0% (2)
-1.6%
On power play, Kopitar has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,141).
Kopitar shoots left. Connolly is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Connolly
Home
55.3% (11,643)
42.6% (129)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
39.4% (160)
By Period
Kopitar
Connolly
P1
54.5%
41.8%
P2
54.9%
40.0%
P3
53.9%
40.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Connolly
30.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2017 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:27 | Offensive | Brett Connolly |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:05 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Connolly |