Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs McMichael 43.8% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 54.0%
Defensive zone
McMichael 60.5%
Neutral zone
McMichael 61.3%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Kopitar
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kopitar
McMichael
Last 5: Kopitar 2-3 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
McMichael
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
1
Kopitar
McMichael
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
2
Kopitar
McMichael
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
42.4% (399)
+12.5%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
49.1% (55)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
40.6% (96)
+10.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
Kopitar
McMichael
Home
56.8% (533)
43.0% (298)
Away
55.3% (535)
42.5% (252)
By Period
Kopitar
McMichael
P1
55.9%
46.5%
P2
57.1%
41.1%
P3
55.4%
41.3%
Final 5 min
56.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:56 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |