Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs McMichael 44.5% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 81.0%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 84.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 85.9%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Kopitar
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kopitar
McMichael
Last 8: Kopitar 5-3 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
2
Kopitar
McMichael
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
McMichael
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
43.1% (339)
+14.5%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
50.0% (4)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
0.0% (2)
+46.9%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Kopitar is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Kopitar shoots left. McMichael is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Kopitar
McMichael
Home
57.2% (778)
42.7% (178)
Away
56.5% (731)
43.1% (167)
By Period
Kopitar
McMichael
P1
56.3%
40.7%
P2
57.1%
50.0%
P3
57.0%
36.9%
Final 5 min
57.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2021 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |