Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.2%). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Grant 54.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 71.2%
Defensive zone
Grant 76.5%
Neutral zone
Grant 67.0%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 76.5%
23.5%
76.5%
Kopitar
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kopitar
Grant
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Kopitar
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
56.5% (308)
-0.1%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
65.3% (49)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
48.5% (136)
-0.9%
On power play, Grant has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Grant
Home
56.3% (783)
60.3% (257)
Away
55.5% (825)
49.6% (236)
By Period
Kopitar
Grant
P1
57.9%
54.7%
P2
54.5%
54.0%
P3
55.2%
57.1%
OT
57.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Derek Grant |