Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 31 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Malkin 45.9% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 46-35 in 81 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 64.1%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 92.0%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 87.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Kopitar
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
46
-
35
(81 meetings)
46
35
Kopitar
Malkin
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
9
20
Kopitar
Malkin
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
24
7
Kopitar
Malkin
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
13
8
Kopitar
Malkin
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,453)
45.6% (10,073)
+9.0%
Power Play
59.2% (3,529)
50.9% (643)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (2,906)
32.2% (59)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (14,919).
Kopitar shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,254).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Malkin
Home
55.3% (11,435)
47.6% (5,385)
Away
53.8% (11,501)
44.0% (5,413)
By Period
Kopitar
Malkin
P1
54.5%
45.9%
P2
54.9%
46.2%
P3
54.0%
45.2%
OT
59.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
54.5%
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:58 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:29 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |