Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs McBain 50.9% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 66.9%
Defensive zone
McBain 67.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 71.6%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Kopitar
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kopitar
McBain
Last 9: Kopitar 3-6 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
McBain
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
4
Kopitar
McBain
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
McBain
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
52.1% (545)
+2.8%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
57.1% (14)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
37.0% (46)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Kopitar
McBain
Home
56.8% (533)
52.2% (289)
Away
55.3% (535)
50.0% (316)
By Period
Kopitar
McBain
P1
55.9%
52.6%
P2
57.1%
53.6%
P3
55.4%
47.1%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |