Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Arnott 50.3% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 52.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 83.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 72.3%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Kopitar
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kopitar
Arnott
Last 8: Kopitar 5-3 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
3
Kopitar
Arnott
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Arnott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
49.7% (1,444)
+4.9%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
53.8% (182)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
40.0% (15)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,141).
Kopitar shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Arnott
Home
55.3% (11,643)
52.1% (891)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Kopitar
Arnott
P1
54.5%
46.1%
P2
54.9%
53.6%
P3
53.9%
50.1%
OT
59.2%
71.4%
Final 5 min
54.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |