Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Pavelski 53.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 62.2%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 53.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 58.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Kopitar
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kopitar
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Kopitar
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
52.3% (560)
+4.1%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
57.5% (113)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
62.5% (16)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Kopitar is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Kopitar shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Pavelski
Home
56.3% (783)
54.2% (360)
Away
55.5% (825)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Kopitar
Pavelski
P1
57.9%
54.5%
P2
54.5%
56.7%
P3
55.2%
50.8%
OT
57.6%
30.8%
Final 5 min
55.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 09:39 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 04:45 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |