Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 52.4% vs Thornton 57.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 58.6%
Defensive zone
Thornton 67.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 66.4%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Kopitar
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Kopitar
Thornton
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
1
Kopitar
Thornton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kopitar
Thornton
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
3
Kopitar
Thornton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,066)
58.7% (722)
-6.8%
Power Play
58.9% (192)
58.5% (147)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (172)
51.2% (86)
-1.2%
On even strength, Thornton has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Kopitar is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Kopitar shoots left. Thornton is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Thornton
Home
53.6% (722)
60.1% (496)
Away
51.6% (708)
55.8% (459)
By Period
Kopitar
Thornton
P1
52.5%
60.4%
P2
51.1%
54.7%
P3
54.1%
58.2%
OT
53.1%
61.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 07:33 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |