Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.3%). Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 49 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Thornton 54.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 112-74 in 186 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 55.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 71.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 58.0%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Kopitar
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
112
-
74
(186 meetings)
112
74
Kopitar
Thornton
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
31
25
Kopitar
Thornton
56 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
35
14
Kopitar
Thornton
49 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
46
35
Kopitar
Thornton
81 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,453)
53.5% (6,640)
+1.1%
Power Play
59.2% (3,529)
57.2% (1,387)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (2,906)
56.7% (427)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (14,919).
Kopitar shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Thornton
Home
55.3% (11,435)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
53.8% (11,501)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Kopitar
Thornton
P1
54.5%
55.0%
P2
54.9%
53.3%
P3
54.0%
54.4%
OT
59.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
55.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
54.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 13:39 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:55 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 5, 2018 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 5, 2018 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 5, 2018 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 5, 2018 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 5, 2018 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |