Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.0%). Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.3% vs Thornton 52.6% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 53.7%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 80.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 63.9%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Kopitar
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Kopitar
Thornton
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kopitar
Thornton
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
0
Kopitar
Thornton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
8
4
Kopitar
Thornton
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (1,285)
51.8% (577)
+1.0%
Power Play
64.8% (199)
57.7% (168)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (292)
37.5% (8)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Kopitar is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,060).
Kopitar shoots left. Thornton is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Thornton
Home
53.7% (918)
53.0% (379)
Away
53.3% (858)
52.9% (374)
By Period
Kopitar
Thornton
P1
52.9%
53.3%
P2
53.6%
50.7%
P3
53.4%
54.3%
OT
64.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 05:08 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |