Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 52.5% vs Staal 58.4% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 64.0%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 66.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 66.0%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Kopitar
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kopitar
Staal
Last 5: Kopitar 0-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Kopitar
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Kopitar
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,288)
59.1% (888)
-6.1%
Power Play
61.3% (194)
66.9% (121)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (211)
52.6% (156)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kopitar is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,073).
Kopitar shoots left. Staal is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Staal
Home
55.7% (853)
61.2% (600)
Away
49.6% (840)
56.9% (566)
By Period
Kopitar
Staal
P1
50.2%
57.5%
P2
54.7%
60.1%
P3
52.7%
59.1%
OT
56.8%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |