Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Staal 57.6% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 68.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 60.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 51.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Kopitar
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Kopitar
Staal
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
5
Kopitar
Staal
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
6
Kopitar
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Kopitar
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
58.9% (1,096)
-2.5%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
68.4% (57)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
51.8% (222)
-6.3%
On power play, Staal has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Staal
Home
56.1% (786)
57.0% (646)
Away
54.0% (774)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Kopitar
Staal
P1
56.2%
55.9%
P2
55.4%
55.4%
P3
53.0%
62.0%
OT
70.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:21 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |