Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Bailey 45.5% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 78.0%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 86.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 86.3%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Kopitar
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Kopitar
Bailey
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
2
Kopitar
Bailey
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
7
6
Kopitar
Bailey
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
1
Kopitar
Bailey
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
45.8% (1,991)
+8.8%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
48.1% (295)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
39.9% (281)
+8.5%
On power play, Kopitar has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,150).
Kopitar shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Bailey
Home
55.3% (11,643)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Kopitar
Bailey
P1
54.5%
46.5%
P2
54.9%
44.8%
P3
53.9%
44.4%
OT
59.2%
51.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 00:01 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |