Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Kapanen 45.9% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 88.4%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 91.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 83.0%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Kopitar
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kopitar
Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Kapanen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Kapanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
40.2% (82)
+16.7%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
100.0% (1)
-31.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
45.5% (11)
-1.6%
On power play, Kapanen has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (508).
Kopitar shoots left. Kapanen is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Kapanen
Home
58.4% (774)
35.1% (37)
Away
56.0% (763)
45.6% (57)
By Period
Kopitar
Kapanen
P1
59.4%
37.0%
P2
56.8%
43.3%
P3
55.9%
43.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Kasperi Kapanen |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |