Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Hayes 47.7% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 26-16 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 94.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 88.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 93.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Kopitar
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
16
(42 meetings)
26
16
Kopitar
Hayes
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
10
7
Kopitar
Hayes
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
8
6
Kopitar
Hayes
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
8
3
Kopitar
Hayes
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
47.5% (6,708)
+7.1%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
51.7% (702)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
45.3% (697)
+3.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,150).
Kopitar shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Hayes
Home
55.3% (11,643)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Kopitar
Hayes
P1
54.5%
47.5%
P2
54.9%
47.6%
P3
53.9%
47.9%
OT
59.2%
54.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 12:08 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |