Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Hayes 56.3% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 53.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 60.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Kopitar
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Kopitar
Hayes
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
Kopitar
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
2
Kopitar
Hayes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
56.6% (724)
-0.2%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
57.0% (79)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
65.7% (35)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Hayes
Home
56.1% (786)
58.0% (405)
Away
54.0% (774)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Kopitar
Hayes
P1
56.2%
54.7%
P2
55.4%
55.7%
P3
53.0%
60.2%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 28, 2024 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |