Scouting Report
Kris Draper holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draper on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Draper shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Draper 54.1% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 69.8%
Defensive zone
Draper 65.2%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 51.9%
Result
Kris Draper favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Kopitar
Draper
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kopitar
Draper
Last 5: Kopitar 2-3 Draper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draper
0
1
Kopitar
Draper
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draper
1
2
Kopitar
Draper
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Draper
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Draper
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
52.6% (78)
+2.0%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
100.0% (2)
-40.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
58.1% (86)
-9.7%
On power play, Draper has a +40.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draper shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,150).
Kopitar shoots left. Draper is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Draper
Home
55.3% (11,643)
62.0% (71)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
52.6% (97)
By Period
Kopitar
Draper
P1
54.5%
55.6%
P2
54.9%
58.3%
P3
53.9%
56.7%
OT
59.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
61.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Draper
62.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Kris Draper |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2011 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Kris Draper |
| Feb 28, 2011 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2011 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Kris Draper |