Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Poitras shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Poitras 45.5% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 78.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 89.6%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 90.3%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Kopitar
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kopitar
Poitras
Last 5: Kopitar 4-1 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Poitras
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poitras
0
1
Kopitar
Poitras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Poitras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
43.3% (245)
+13.1%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
50.0% (6)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
66.7% (3)
-21.2%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Kopitar is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (536).
Kopitar shoots left. Poitras is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Poitras
Home
56.1% (786)
44.6% (121)
Away
54.0% (774)
42.9% (133)
By Period
Kopitar
Poitras
P1
56.2%
41.5%
P2
55.4%
45.4%
P3
53.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:28 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:59 | Defensive | Matthew Poitras |