Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs McLeod 59.6% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 84.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 51.4%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 61.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Kopitar
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Kopitar
McLeod
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
1
Kopitar
McLeod
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
7
Kopitar
McLeod
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Kopitar
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
61.5% (792)
-5.1%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
65.2% (23)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
55.6% (153)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Kopitar is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Kopitar shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Kopitar
McLeod
Home
56.3% (783)
62.0% (460)
Away
55.5% (825)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Kopitar
McLeod
P1
57.9%
61.5%
P2
54.5%
63.6%
P3
55.2%
56.2%
OT
57.6%
73.3%
Final 5 min
55.9%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |