Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Geekie 48.4% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 65.9%
Defensive zone
Geekie 67.4%
Neutral zone
Geekie 67.3%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Kopitar
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Kopitar
Geekie
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Kopitar
Geekie
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
4
6
Kopitar
Geekie
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
3
Kopitar
Geekie
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,453)
48.7% (2,289)
+5.9%
Power Play
59.2% (3,529)
45.9% (183)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (2,906)
45.7% (129)
+2.6%
On power play, Kopitar has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,017).
Kopitar shoots left. Geekie is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,909).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Geekie
Home
55.3% (11,435)
50.0% (1,277)
Away
53.8% (11,501)
46.8% (1,324)
By Period
Kopitar
Geekie
P1
54.5%
48.4%
P2
54.9%
48.9%
P3
54.0%
47.5%
OT
59.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
54.5%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 06:44 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |