Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Kapanen 47.5% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 76.9%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 82.0%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 76.9%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 77.9%
22.1%
77.9%
Kopitar
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kopitar
Kapanen
Last 5: Kopitar 1-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
1
Kopitar
Kapanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
1
Kopitar
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
1
2
Kopitar
Kapanen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
47.2% (559)
+7.4%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
51.0% (51)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
39.5% (38)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,141).
Kopitar shoots left. Kapanen is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Kapanen
Home
55.3% (11,643)
47.1% (340)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
47.1% (308)
By Period
Kopitar
Kapanen
P1
54.5%
42.7%
P2
54.9%
50.2%
P3
53.9%
48.2%
OT
59.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |