Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 68.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 68.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 68.1%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Kopitar
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Kopitar
Bergeron
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
9
Kopitar
Bergeron
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
2
Kopitar
Bergeron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
62.5% (1,109)
-6.1%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
62.2% (352)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
53.5% (245)
-5.9%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Kopitar is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Kopitar shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Bergeron
Home
56.3% (783)
61.9% (917)
Away
55.5% (825)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Kopitar
Bergeron
P1
57.9%
60.8%
P2
54.5%
60.3%
P3
55.2%
63.0%
OT
57.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
55.9%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2022 | OT | 03:50 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2022 | OT | 00:19 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |