Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Brown 56.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 88.0%
Defensive zone
Brown 70.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 51.8%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Kopitar
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kopitar
Brown
Last 5: Kopitar 4-1 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Brown
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Brown
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Kopitar
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
61.3% (336)
-3.7%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
50.0% (4)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
45.9% (74)
+1.0%
On power play, Kopitar has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Kopitar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (593).
Kopitar shoots left. Brown is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Brown
Home
57.2% (778)
61.1% (180)
Away
56.5% (731)
56.4% (234)
By Period
Kopitar
Brown
P1
56.3%
57.5%
P2
57.1%
58.5%
P3
57.0%
59.2%
OT
59.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |