Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.6% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 77.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 66.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 55.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Kopitar
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kopitar
Gaustad
Last 9: Kopitar 3-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
3
Kopitar
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
2
Kopitar
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (982)
57.8% (854)
-3.2%
Power Play
54.0% (235)
56.0% (25)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (176)
55.1% (263)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (964).
Kopitar shoots left. Gaustad is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Gaustad
Home
52.1% (703)
61.3% (633)
Away
55.5% (715)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Kopitar
Gaustad
P1
54.9%
57.9%
P2
56.3%
55.3%
P3
49.5%
58.3%
OT
65.5%
64.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |