Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (96% H2H, 28 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 41-35 in 76 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 85.8%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 75.7%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 54.0%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Kopitar
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
41
(76 meetings)
35
41
Kopitar
Gaustad
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
27
3
Kopitar
Gaustad
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
27
Kopitar
Gaustad
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
7
11
Kopitar
Gaustad
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
58.2% (4,334)
-3.6%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
65.4% (188)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
54.8% (1,290)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,150).
Kopitar shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Gaustad
Home
55.3% (11,643)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Kopitar
Gaustad
P1
54.5%
58.2%
P2
54.9%
56.4%
P3
53.9%
58.3%
OT
59.2%
66.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |