Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 52.9% vs Gaustad 57.9% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 84.2%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 57.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 62.4%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Kopitar
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Kopitar
Gaustad
Last 10: Kopitar 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
0
Kopitar
Gaustad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
9
Kopitar
Gaustad
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Kopitar
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (700)
59.8% (353)
-6.1%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
66.7% (15)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (68)
58.0% (81)
-6.5%
On power play, Gaustad has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Kopitar is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (668).
Kopitar shoots left. Gaustad is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Gaustad
Home
55.3% (414)
62.1% (195)
Away
51.5% (474)
57.9% (254)
By Period
Kopitar
Gaustad
P1
54.4%
59.4%
P2
54.0%
58.1%
P3
50.7%
61.3%
OT
70.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 03:52 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 02:15 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |