Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 55.1%). Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 63 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Stastny 55.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 106-93 in 199 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 51.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 54.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 50.6%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Kopitar
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
106
-
93
(199 meetings)
106
93
Kopitar
Stastny
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
32
33
Kopitar
Stastny
65 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
38
25
Kopitar
Stastny
63 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
36
35
Kopitar
Stastny
71 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,453)
54.6% (10,616)
+0.0%
Power Play
59.2% (3,529)
59.1% (1,994)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (2,906)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (14,919).
Kopitar shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Stastny
Home
55.3% (11,435)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
53.8% (11,501)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Kopitar
Stastny
P1
54.5%
56.3%
P2
54.9%
55.4%
P3
54.0%
53.5%
OT
59.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
54.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 14:38 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |