Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.6%). Kopitar wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Stastny 55.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 65.5%
Defensive zone
Stastny 55.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 63.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Kopitar
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kopitar
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Kopitar
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Kopitar
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
59.2% (370)
-1.6%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
40.9% (44)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
51.7% (58)
-4.8%
On power play, Kopitar has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kopitar is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Kopitar shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Stastny
Home
57.2% (778)
57.7% (215)
Away
56.5% (731)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Kopitar
Stastny
P1
56.3%
57.7%
P2
57.1%
54.2%
P3
57.0%
57.7%
OT
59.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |