Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 57.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 50.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 53.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Kopitar
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Kopitar
Stastny
Last 10: Kopitar 9-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
2
Kopitar
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
1
Kopitar
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (982)
55.0% (1,136)
-0.4%
Power Play
54.0% (235)
57.5% (200)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (176)
53.1% (64)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (964).
Kopitar shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Stastny
Home
52.1% (703)
58.5% (744)
Away
55.5% (715)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Kopitar
Stastny
P1
54.9%
57.9%
P2
56.3%
54.9%
P3
49.5%
53.0%
OT
65.5%
72.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2012 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |