Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.9%). Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.9% vs Stastny 54.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 53.8%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 57.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 54.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Kopitar
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Kopitar
Stastny
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
4
Kopitar
Stastny
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,295)
54.8% (1,130)
+0.5%
Power Play
53.5% (271)
59.1% (235)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (249)
49.3% (150)
-0.7%
On power play, Stastny has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kopitar is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Kopitar shoots left. Stastny is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Stastny
Home
55.6% (901)
55.5% (803)
Away
52.7% (915)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Kopitar
Stastny
P1
53.3%
57.4%
P2
55.3%
52.5%
P3
53.6%
54.3%
OT
59.4%
69.6%
Final 5 min
54.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |