Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 54.8%). Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Zacha 54.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 53.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 59.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Kopitar
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Kopitar
Zacha
Last 10: Kopitar 2-8 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
5
Kopitar
Zacha
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Kopitar
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
3
Kopitar
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
53.9% (787)
+2.5%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
63.2% (193)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
44.3% (88)
+1.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Zacha
Home
56.1% (786)
56.7% (538)
Away
54.0% (774)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Kopitar
Zacha
P1
56.2%
52.6%
P2
55.4%
54.8%
P3
53.0%
56.8%
OT
70.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |