Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 56.0%). Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Faksa 55.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 71.1%
Defensive zone
Faksa 58.5%
Neutral zone
Faksa 51.6%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Kopitar
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kopitar
Faksa
Last 5: Kopitar 3-2 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Faksa
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Faksa
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Kopitar
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
56.7% (413)
-0.3%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
56.3% (16)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
53.7% (123)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Faksa is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Faksa
Home
56.3% (783)
56.3% (261)
Away
55.5% (825)
55.7% (291)
By Period
Kopitar
Faksa
P1
57.9%
58.6%
P2
54.5%
55.0%
P3
55.2%
55.0%
OT
57.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 09:01 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |