Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.1% vs 55.9%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Crosby 55.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 61.4%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 68.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Kopitar
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kopitar
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Kopitar
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
53.7% (984)
+1.2%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
64.7% (241)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
64.3% (14)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Crosby
Home
56.8% (533)
56.9% (649)
Away
55.3% (535)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Kopitar
Crosby
P1
55.9%
55.8%
P2
57.1%
53.2%
P3
55.4%
58.7%
OT
55.6%
54.2%
Final 5 min
56.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |