Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.2% vs 57.0%). Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Crosby 56.6% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 71.3%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 64.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 53.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Kopitar
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
10
(24 meetings)
14
10
Kopitar
Crosby
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
7
Kopitar
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
7
0
Kopitar
Crosby
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
3
Kopitar
Crosby
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
56.2% (1,451)
+0.7%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
61.4% (293)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
55.3% (38)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Crosby
Home
58.4% (774)
59.1% (939)
Away
56.0% (763)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Kopitar
Crosby
P1
59.4%
54.9%
P2
56.8%
60.8%
P3
55.9%
55.4%
OT
45.5%
53.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:09 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |