Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Thompson 43.7% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 86.2%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 94.0%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 88.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 90.7%
90.7%
9.3%
Kopitar
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kopitar
Thompson
Last 5: Kopitar 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
41.9% (597)
+15.0%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
50.5% (95)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
25.0% (12)
+18.9%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (508).
Kopitar shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Thompson
Home
58.4% (774)
47.1% (367)
Away
56.0% (763)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Kopitar
Thompson
P1
59.4%
44.2%
P2
56.8%
41.6%
P3
55.9%
42.9%
OT
45.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |