Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Nosek 58.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 87.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 79.2%
Neutral zone
Nosek 57.2%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 79.2%
20.8%
79.2%
Kopitar
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kopitar
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Kopitar
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
59.7% (469)
-3.3%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
100.0% (4)
-39.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
56.5% (124)
-8.9%
On power play, Nosek has a +39.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Nosek
Home
56.3% (783)
59.0% (295)
Away
55.5% (825)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Kopitar
Nosek
P1
57.9%
56.3%
P2
54.5%
61.9%
P3
55.2%
59.2%
OT
57.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |